Bitcoin Leverage Sentiment - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Bitcoin Leverage Sentiment - Strategy " represents a novel approach in the realm of cryptocurrency trading by focusing on sentiment analysis through leveraged positions in Bitcoin. Unlike traditional strategies that primarily rely on price action or technical indicators, this strategy leverages the power of Z-Score analysis to gauge market sentiment by examining the ratio of leveraged long to short positions. By assessing how far the current sentiment deviates from the historical norm, it provides a unique lens to spot potential reversals or continuation in market trends, making it an innovative tool for traders who wish to incorporate market psychology into their trading arsenal.
BTC 4h L/S Performance
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█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Data Collection and Ratio Calculation
Firstly, the strategy acquires data on leveraged long (**`priceLongs`**) and short positions (**`priceShorts`**) for Bitcoin. The primary metric of interest is the ratio of long positions relative to the total of both long and short positions:
BTC Ratio=priceLongs / (priceLongs+priceShorts)
This ratio reflects the prevailing market sentiment, where values closer to 1 indicate a bullish sentiment (dominance of long positions), and values closer to 0 suggest bearish sentiment (prevalence of short positions).
🔶 Z-Score Calculation
The Z-Score is then calculated to standardize the BTC Ratio, allowing for comparison across different time periods. The Z-Score formula is:
Z = (X - μ) / σ
Where:
- X is the current BTC Ratio.
- μ is the mean of the BTC Ratio over a specified period (**`zScoreCalculationPeriod`**).
- σ is the standard deviation of the BTC Ratio over the same period.
The Z-Score helps quantify how far the current sentiment deviates from the historical norm, with high positive values indicating extreme bullish sentiment and high negative values signaling extreme bearish sentiment.
🔶 Signal Generation: Trading signals are derived from the Z-Score as follows:
Long Entry Signal: Occurs when the BTC Ratio Z-Score crosses above the thresholdLongEntry, suggesting bullish sentiment.
- Condition for Long Entry = BTC Ratio Z-Score > thresholdLongEntry
Long Exit/Short Entry Signal: Triggered when the BTC Ratio Z-Score drops below thresholdLongExit for exiting longs or below thresholdShortEntry for entering shorts, indicating a shift to bearish sentiment.
- Condition for Long Exit/Short Entry = BTC Ratio Z-Score < thresholdLongExit or BTC Ratio Z-Score < thresholdShortEntry
Short Exit Signal: Happens when the BTC Ratio Z-Score exceeds the thresholdShortExit, hinting at reducing bearish sentiment and a potential switch to bullish conditions.
- Condition for Short Exit = BTC Ratio Z-Score > thresholdShortExit
🔶Implementation and Visualization: The strategy applies these conditions for trade management, aligning with the selected trade direction. It visualizes the BTC Ratio Z-Score with horizontal lines at entry and exit thresholds, illustrating the current sentiment against historical norms.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy offers flexibility in trade direction, allowing users to choose between long, short, or both, depending on their market outlook and risk tolerance. This adaptability ensures that traders can align the strategy with their individual trading style and market conditions.
█ Usage
To employ this strategy effectively:
1. Customization: Begin by setting the trade direction and adjusting the Z-Score calculation period and entry/exit thresholds to match your trading preferences.
2. Observation: Monitor the Z-Score and its moving average for potential trading signals. Look for crossover events relative to the predefined thresholds to identify entry and exit points.
3. Confirmation: Consider using additional analysis or indicators for signal confirmation, ensuring a comprehensive approach to decision-making.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Determines if the strategy engages in long, short, or both types of trades, impacting its adaptability to market conditions.
- Timeframe Input: Influences signal frequency and sensitivity, affecting the strategy's responsiveness to market dynamics.
- Z-Score Calculation Period: Affects the strategy’s sensitivity to market changes, with longer periods smoothing data and shorter periods increasing responsiveness.
- Entry and Exit Thresholds: Set the Z-Score levels for initiating or exiting trades, balancing between capturing opportunities and minimizing false signals.
- Impact of Default Settings: Provides a balanced approach to leverage sentiment trading, with adjustments needed to optimize performance across various market conditions.
Cerca negli script per "the strat"
TTP Intelligent AccumulatorThe intelligent accumulator is a proof of concept strategy. A hybrid between a recurring buy and TA-based entries and exits.
Distribute the amount of equity and add to your position as long as the TA condition is valid.
Use the exit TA condition to define your exit strategy.
Decide between adding only into losing positions to average down or take a riskier approach by allowing to add into a winning position as well.
Take full profit or distribute your exit into multiple take profit exists of the same size.
You can also decide if you allow your exit conditions to close your position in a loss or require a minimum take profit %.
The strategy includes a default built-in TA conditions just for showcasing the idea but the final intent of this script is to delegate the TA entries and exists to external sources.
The internal conditions use RSI length 7 crossing below the BB with std 1 for entries and above for exits.
To control the number of orders use the properties from settings:
- adjust the pyramiding
- adjust the percentage of equity
- make sure that pyramiding * % equity equals 100 to prevent over use of equity (unless using leverage)
The script is designed as an alternative to daily or weekly recurring buys but depending on the accuracy of your TA conditions it might prove profitable also in lower timeframes.
The reason the script is named Intelligent is because recurring buy is most commonly used without any decision making: buy no matter what with certain frequency. This strategy seeks to still perform recurring buys but filtering out some of the potential bad entries that can delay unnecessarily seeing the position in profits. The second reason is also securing an exit strategy from the beginning which no recurring buy option offers out-of-the-box.
Long EMA Strategy with Advanced Exit OptionsThis strategy is designed for traders seeking a trend-following system with a focus on precision and adaptability.
**Core Strategy Concept**
The essence of this strategy lies in use of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify potential long (buy) positions based on the relative positions of short-term, medium-term, and long-term EMAs. The use of EMAs is a classic yet powerful approach to trend detection, as these indicators smooth out price data over time, emphasizing the direction of recent price movements and potentially signaling the beginning of new trends.
**Customizable Parameters**
- **EMA Periods**: Users can define the periods for three EMAs - long-term, medium-term, and short-term - allowing for a tailored approach to capture trends based on individual trading styles and market conditions.
- **Volatility Filter**: An optional Average True Range (ATR)-based volatility filter can be toggled on or off. When activated, it ensures that trades are only entered when market volatility exceeds a user-defined threshold, aiming to filter out entries during low-volatility periods which are often characterized by indecisive market movements.
- **Trailing Stop Loss**: A trailing stop loss mechanism, expressed as a percentage of the highest price achieved since entry, provides a dynamic way to manage risk by allowing profits to run while cutting losses.
- **EMA Exit Condition**: This advanced exit option enables closing positions when the short-term EMA crosses below the medium-term EMA, serving as a signal that the immediate trend may be reversing.
- **Close Below EMA Exit**: An additional exit condition, which is disabled by default, allows positions to be closed if the price closes below a user-selected EMA. This provides an extra layer of flexibility and risk management, catering to traders who prefer to exit positions based on specific EMA thresholds.
**Operational Mechanics**
Upon activation, the strategy evaluates the current price in relation to the set EMAs. A long position is considered when the current price is above the long-term EMA, and the short-term EMA is above the medium-term EMA. This setup aims to identify moments where the price momentum is strong and likely to continue.
The strategy's versatility is further enhanced by its optional settings:
- The **Volatility Filter** adjusts the sensitivity of the strategy to market movements, potentially improving the quality of the entries during volatile market conditions.
The Average True Range (ATR) is a key component of this filter, providing a measure of market volatility by calculating the average range between the high and low prices over a specified number of periods. Here's how you can adjust the volatility filter settings for various market conditions, focusing on filtering out low-volatility markets:
Setting Examples for Volatility Filter
1. High Volatility Markets (e.g., Cryptocurrencies, Certain Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: Setting the multiplier to a lower value, such as 1.0 or 1.2, can be beneficial in high-volatility markets. This sensitivity allows the strategy to react to volatility changes more quickly, ensuring that you're entering trades during periods of significant movement.
2. Medium Volatility Markets (e.g., Major Equity Indices, Medium-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: A multiplier of 1.5 (default) is often suitable for medium volatility markets. It provides a balanced approach, ensuring that the strategy filters out low-volatility conditions without being overly restrictive.
3. Low Volatility Markets (e.g., Some Commodities, Low-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: Increasing the ATR period to 20 or 25 can smooth out the volatility measure, making it less sensitive to short-term fluctuations. This adjustment helps in focusing on more significant trends in inherently stable markets.
ATR Multiplier: Raising the multiplier to 2.0 or even 2.5 increases the threshold for volatility, effectively filtering out low-volatility conditions. This setting ensures that the strategy only triggers trades during periods of relatively higher volatility, which are more likely to result in significant price movements.
How to Use the Volatility Filter for Low-Volatility Markets
For traders specifically interested in filtering out low-volatility markets, the key is to adjust the ATR Multiplier to a higher level. This adjustment increases the threshold required for the market to be considered sufficiently volatile for trade entries. Here's a step-by-step guide:
Adjust the ATR Multiplier: Increase the ATR Multiplier to create a higher volatility threshold. A multiplier of 2.0 to 2.5 is a good starting point for very low-volatility markets.
Fine-Tune the ATR Periods: Consider lengthening the ATR calculation period if you find that the strategy is still entering trades in undesirable low-volatility conditions. A longer period provides a more averaged-out measure of volatility, which might better suit your needs.
Monitor and Adjust: Volatility is not static, and market conditions can change. Regularly review the performance of your strategy in the context of current market volatility and adjust the settings as necessary.
Backtest in Different Conditions: Before applying the strategy live, backtest it across different market conditions with your adjusted settings. This process helps ensure that your approach to filtering low-volatility conditions aligns with your trading objectives and risk tolerance.
By fine-tuning the volatility filter settings according to the specific characteristics of the market you're trading in, you can enhance the performance of this strategy
- The **Trailing Stop Loss** and **EMA Exit Conditions** provide two layers of exit strategies, focusing on capital preservation and profit maximization.
**Visualizations**
For clarity and ease of use, the strategy plots the three EMAs and, if enabled, the ATR threshold on the chart. These visual cues not only aid in decision-making but also help in understanding the market's current trend and volatility state.
**How to Use**
Traders can customize the EMA periods to fit their trading horizon, be it short, medium, or long-term trading. The volatility filter and exit options allow for further customization, making the strategy adaptable to different market conditions and personal risk tolerance levels.
By offering a blend of trend-following principles with advanced risk management features, this strategy aims to cater to a wide range of trading styles, from cautious to aggressive. Its strength lies in its flexibility, allowing traders to fine-tune settings to their specific needs, making it a potentially valuable tool in the arsenal of any trader looking for a disciplined approach to navigating the markets.
Octopus Nest Strategy Hello Fellas,
Hereby, I come up with a popular strategy from YouTube called Octopus Nest Strategy. It is a no repaint, lower timeframe scalping strategy utilizing PSAR, EMA and TTM Squeeze.
The strategy considers these market factors:
PSAR -> Trend
EMA -> Trend
TTM Squeeze -> Momentum and Volatility by incorporating Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels
Note: As you can see there is a potential improvement by incorporating volume.
What's Different Compared To The Original Strategy?
I added an option which allows users to use the Adaptive PSAR of @loxx, which will hopefully improve results sometimes.
Signals
Enter Long -> source above EMA 100, source crosses above PSAR and TTM Squeeze crosses above 0
Enter Short -> source below EMA 100, source crosses below PSAR and TTM Squeeze crosses below 0
Exit Long and Exit Short are triggered from the risk management. Thus, it will just exit on SL or TP.
Risk Management
"High Low Stop Loss" and "Automatic High Low Take Profit" are used here.
High Low Stop Loss: Utilizes the last high for short and the last low for long to calculate the stop loss level. The last high or low gets multiplied by the user-defined multiplicator and if no recent high or low was found it uses the backup multiplier.
Automatic High Low Take Profit: Utilizes the current stop loss level of "High Low Stop Loss" and gets calculated by the user-defined risk ratio.
Now, follows the bunch of knowledge for the more inexperienced readers.
PSAR: Parabolic Stop And Reverse; Developed by J. Welles Wilders and a classic trend reversal indicator.
The indicator works most effectively in trending markets where large price moves allow traders to capture significant gains. When a security’s price is range-bound, the indicator will constantly be reversing, resulting in multiple low-profit or losing trades.
TTM Squeeze: TTM Squeeze is a volatility and momentum indicator introduced by John Carter of Trade the Markets (now Simpler Trading), which capitalizes on the tendency for price to break out strongly after consolidating in a tight trading range.
The volatility component of the TTM Squeeze indicator measures price compression using Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels. If the Bollinger Bands are completely enclosed within the Keltner Channels, that indicates a period of very low volatility. This state is known as the squeeze. When the Bollinger Bands expand and move back outside of the Keltner Channel, the squeeze is said to have “fired”: volatility increases and prices are likely to break out of that tight trading range in one direction or the other. The on/off state of the squeeze is shown with small dots on the zero line of the indicator: red dots indicate the squeeze is on, and green dots indicate the squeeze is off.
EMA: Exponential Moving Average; Like a simple moving average, but with exponential weighting of the input data.
Don't forget to check out the settings and keep it up.
Best regards,
simwai
---
Credits to:
@loxx
@Bjorgum
@Greeny
Triple MA HTF strategy - Dynamic SmoothingThe triple MA strategy is a simple but effective method to trade the trend. The advantage of this script over the existing triple MA strategies is that the user can open a lower time frame chart and select higher time frame inputs for different MA types mainting the visibility on the chart. The dynamic smoothing code makes sure the HTF trendlines are not jagged, but a fluid line visiable on the lower time frame chart. The script comes with a MA crossover and crossunder strategy explained below.
Moving Averages (MA) Crossover for Entry:
Long Entry: A long entry signal is triggered when the moving average line 1 crosses above the moving average line 2. This crossover indicates a potential shift in market sentiment towards the upside. However, to validate this signal, the strategy checks if the moving average 3 on a higher time frame (eg. 4 hour) is in an upward trend. This additional filter ensures that the trade aligns with the prevailing trend on a broader time scale, increasing the probability of success.
Short Entry: Conversely, a short entry signal occurs when the moving average line 1 crosses below the moving average line 2. This crossover suggests a possible downturn in market momentum. However, for a short trade to be confirmed, the strategy verifies that the moving average 3 on the higher time frame is in a downward trend. This confirmation ensures that the trade is in harmony with the overarching market direction.
Exit from Long Position: The strategy triggers an exit signal from a long position when the moving average line 1 crosses below the moving average line 2. This crossover indicates a potential reversal in the market trend, prompting the trader to close their long position and take profits or minimize losses.
Exit from Short Position: Similarly, an exit signal from a short position occurs when the moving average line 1 crosses above the moving average line 2. This crossover suggests a potential shift in market sentiment towards the upside, prompting the trader to exit their short position and manage their risk accordingly.
Features of the script
This Triple MA Strategy is basically the HTF Trend Filter displayed 3 times on the chart. For more infomation on how the MA with dynamic smoothing is calculated I recommend reading the following script:
For risk management I included a simple script to opt for % of eauity or # of contracts of in the instrument. For explanation on how the risk management settings work I refer to my ealier published script:
The strategy is a simplified example for setting up an entry and exit logic based on multiple moving avarages. Hence the script is meant for educational purposes only.
Backtest any Indicator v5Happy Trade,
here you get the opportunity to backtest any of your indicators like a strategy without converting them into a strategy. You can choose to go long or go short and detailed time filters. Further more you can set the take profit and stop loss, initial capital, quantity per trade and set the exchange fees. You get an overall result table and even a detailed, scroll-able table with all trades. In the Image 1 you see the provided info tables about all Trades and the Result Summary. Further more every trade is marked by a background color, Labels and Levels. An opening Label with the trade direction and trade number. A closing Label again with the trade number, the trades profit in % and the total amount of $ after all past trades. A green line for the take profit level and a red line for the stop loss.
Image 1
Example
For this description we choose the Stochastic RSI indicator from TradingView as it is. In Image 2 is shown the performance of it with decent settings.
Timeframe=45, BTCUSD, 2023-08-01 - 2023-10-20
Stoch RSI: k=30, d=40, RSI-length=140, stoch-length=140
Backtest any Indicator: input signal=Stoch RSI, goLong, take profit=9.1%, stop loss=2.5%, start capital=1000$, qty=5%, fee=0.1%, no Session Filter
Image 2
Usage
1) You need to know the name of the boolean (or integer) variable of your indicator which hold the buy condition. Lets say that this boolean variable is called BUY. If this BUY variable is not plotted on the chart you simply add the following code line at the end of your pine script.
For boolean (true/false) BUY variables use this:
plot(BUY ? 1:0,'Your buy condition hold in that variable BUY',display = display.data_window)
And in case your script's BUY variable is an integer or float then use instate the following code line:
plot(BUY ,'Your buy condition hold in that variable BUY',display = display.data_window)
2) Probably the name of this BUY variable in your indicator is not BUY. Simply replace in the code line above the BUY with the name of your script's trade condition variable.
3) Save your changed Indicator script.
4) Then add this 'Backtest any Indicator' script to the chart ...
5) and go to the settings of it. Choose under "Settings -> Buy Signal" your Indicator. So in the example above choose .
The form is usually: ' : BUY'. Then you see something like Image 2
6) Decide which trade direction the BUY signal should trigger. A go Long or a go Short by set the hook or not.
Now you have a backtest of your Indicator without converting it into a strategy. You may change the setting of your Indicator to the best results and setup the following strategy settings like Time- and Session Filter, Stop Loss, Take Profit etc. More of it below in the section Settings Menu.
Appereance
In the Image 2 you see on the right side the List of Trades . To scroll down you go into the settings again and decrease the scroll value. So you can see all trades that have happened before. In case there is an open trade you will find it at the last position of the list.
Every Long trade is green back grounded while Short trades are red.
Every trade begins with a label that show goLong or goShort and its number. And ends with another label again with its number, Profit in % and the resulting total amount of cash.
If activated you further see the Take Profit as a green line and the Stop Loss as a orange line. In the settings you can set their percentage above or below the entry price.
You also see the Result Summary below. Here you find the usual stats of a strategy of all closed trades. The profit after total amount of fees , amount of trades, Profit Factor and the total amount of fees .
Settings Menu
In the settings menu you will find the following high-lighted sections. Most of the settings have a question mark on their right side. Move over it with the cursor to read specific explanation.
Input Signal of your Indicator: Under Buy you set the trade signal of your Indicator. And under Target you set the value when a trade should happen. In the Example with the Stochastic RSI above we used 20. Below you can set the trade direction, let it be go short when hooked or go long when unhooked.
Trade Settings & List of Trades: Take Profit set the target price of any trade. Stop Loss set the price to step out when a trade goes the wrong direction. Check mark the List of Trades to see any single trade with their stats. In case that there are more trades as fits in the list you can scroll down the list by decrease the value Scroll .
Time Filter: You can set a Start Time or deactivate it by leave it unhooked. The same with End Time .
Session Filter: here you can choose to activate it on weekly base. Which days of the week should be trading and those without. And also on daily base from which time on and until trade are possible. Outside of all times and sessions there will be no new trades if activated.
Invest Settings: here you can choose the amount of cash to start with. The Quantity percentage define for every trade how much of the cash should be invested and the Fee percentage which have to be payed every trade. Open position and closing position.
Other Announcements
This Backtest script don't use the strategy functions of TradingView. It is programmed as an indicator. All trades get executed at candle closing. This script use the functionality "Indicator-on-Indicator" from TradingView.
Conclusion
So now it is your turn, take your promising indicators and connect it to that Backtest script. With it you get a fast impression of how successful your indicator will trade. You don't have to relay on coders who maybe add cheating code lines. Further more you can check with the Time Filter under which market condition you indicator perform the best or not so well. Also with the Session Filter you can sort out repeating good market conditions for your indicator. Even you can check with the GoShort XOR GoLong check mark the trade signals of you indicator in opposite trade direction with one click. And compare your indicators under the same conditions and get the results just after 2 clicks. Thanks to the in-build fee setting you get an impression how much a 0.1% fee cost you in total.
Cheers
Crypto Stablecoin Supply - Indicator [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Stablecoin Supply - Indicator" differentiates itself by focusing on the aggregate supply of major stablecoins—USDT, USDC, and DAI—rather than traditional price-based metrics. Its premise is that fluctuations in the total supply of these stablecoins can serve as leading indicators for broader market movements, offering traders a unique vantage point to anticipate shifts in market sentiment.
BTCUSD 6h for recent bull market
BTCUSD 8h
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Data Collection
The strategy begins with the collection of the closing supply for USDT, USDC, and DAI stablecoins. This data is fetched using a specified timeframe (**`tfInput`**), allowing for flexibility in analysis periods.
🔶 Supply Calculation
The individual supplies of USDT, USDC, and DAI are then aggregated to determine the total stablecoin supply within the market at any given time. This combined figure serves as the foundation for the subsequent statistical analysis.
🔶 Z-Score Computation
The heart of the indicator's strategy lies in the computation of the Z-Score, which is a statistical measure used to identify how far a data point is from the mean, relative to the standard deviation. The formula for the Z-Score is:
Z = (X - μ) / σ
Where:
- Z is the Z-Score
- X is the current total stablecoin supply (TotalStablecoinClose)
- μ (mu) is the mean of the total stablecoin supply over a specified length (len)
- σ (sigma) is the standard deviation of the total stablecoin supply over the same length
A moving average of the Z-Score (**`zScore_ma`**) is calculated over a short period (defaulted to 3) to smooth out the volatility and provide a clearer signal.
🔶 Signal Interpretation
The Z-Score itself is plotted, with its color indicating its relation to a defined threshold (0.382), serving as a direct visual cue for market sentiment. Zones are also highlighted to show when the Z-Score is within certain extreme ranges, suggesting overbought or oversold conditions.
Bull -> Bear
█ Trade Direction
- **Entry Threshold**: A Z-Score crossing above 0.382 suggests an increase in stablecoin supply relative to its historical average, potentially indicating bullish market sentiment or incoming capital flow into cryptocurrencies.
- **Exit Threshold**: Conversely, a Z-Score dropping below -0.382 may signal a reduction in stablecoin supply, hinting at bearish sentiment or capital withdrawal.
█ Usage
Traders can leverage the "Stablecoin Supply - Indicator" to gain insights into the underlying market dynamics that are not immediately apparent through price analysis alone. It is particularly useful for identifying potential shifts in market sentiment before they are reflected in price movements. By integrating this indicator with other technical analysis tools, traders can develop a more rounded and informed trading strategy.
█ Default Settings
- Timeframe Input (`tfInput`): Allows users to specify the timeframe for data collection, adding flexibility to the analysis.
- Z-Score Length (`len`): Set to 252 by default, representing the period over which the mean and standard deviation of the stablecoin supply are calculated.
- Color Coding: Uses distinct colors (green for bullish, red for bearish) to indicate the Z-Score's position relative to its thresholds, enhancing visual clarity.
- Extreme Range Fill: Highlights areas between defined high and low Z-Score thresholds with distinct colors to indicate potential overbought or oversold conditions.
By integrating considerations of stablecoin supply into the analytical framework, the "Stablecoin Supply - Indicator" offers a novel perspective on cryptocurrency market dynamics, enabling traders to make more nuanced and informed decisions.
AI SuperTrend x Pivot Percentile - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The AI SuperTrend x Pivot Percentile strategy is a sophisticated trading approach that integrates AI-driven analysis with traditional technical indicators. Combining the AI SuperTrend with the Pivot Percentile strategy highlights several key advantages:
1. Enhanced Accuracy in Trend Prediction: The AI SuperTrend utilizes K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) algorithm for trend prediction, improving accuracy by considering historical data patterns. This is complemented by the Pivot Percentile analysis which provides additional context on trend strength.
2. Comprehensive Market Analysis: The integration offers a multi-faceted approach to market analysis, combining AI insights with traditional technical indicators. This dual approach captures a broader range of market dynamics.
BTC 6H L/S Performance
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█ Strategy: How it Works - Detailed Explanation
🔶 AI-Enhanced SuperTrend Indicators
1. SuperTrend Calculation:
- The SuperTrend indicator is calculated using a moving average and the Average True Range (ATR). The basic formula is:
- Upper Band = Moving Average + (Multiplier × ATR)
- Lower Band = Moving Average - (Multiplier × ATR)
- The moving average type (SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, VWMA) and the length of the moving average and ATR are adjustable parameters.
- The direction of the trend is determined based on the position of the closing price in relation to these bands.
2. AI Integration with K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN):
- The KNN algorithm is applied to predict trend direction. It uses historical price data and SuperTrend values to classify the current trend as bullish or bearish.
- The algorithm calculates the 'distance' between the current data point and historical points. The 'k' nearest data points (neighbors) are identified based on this distance.
- A weighted average of these neighbors' trends (bullish or bearish) is calculated to predict the current trend.
For more please check: Multi-TF AI SuperTrend with ADX - Strategy
🔶 Pivot Percentile Analysis
1. Percentile Calculation:
- This involves calculating the percentile ranks for high and low prices over a set of predefined lengths.
- The percentile function is typically defined as:
- Percentile = Value at (P/100) × (N + 1)th position
- Where P is the desired percentile, and N is the number of data points.
2. Trend Strength Evaluation:
- The calculated percentiles for highs and lows are used to determine the strength of bullish and bearish trends.
- For instance, a high percentile rank in the high prices may indicate a strong bullish trend, and vice versa for bearish trends.
For more please check: Pivot Percentile Trend - Strategy
🔶 Strategy Integration
1. Combining SuperTrend and Pivot Percentile:
- The strategy synthesizes the insights from both AI-enhanced SuperTrend and Pivot Percentile analysis.
- It compares the trend direction indicated by the SuperTrend with the strength of the trend as suggested by the Pivot Percentile analysis.
2. Signal Generation:
- A trading signal is generated when both the AI-enhanced SuperTrend and the Pivot Percentile analysis agree on the trend direction.
- For instance, a bullish signal is generated when both the SuperTrend is bullish, and the Pivot Percentile analysis shows strength in bullish trends.
🔶 Risk Management and Filters
- ADX and DMI Filter: The strategy uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) and the Directional Movement Index (DMI) as filters to assess the trend's strength and direction.
- Dynamic Trailing Stop Loss: Based on the SuperTrend indicator, the strategy dynamically adjusts stop-loss levels to manage risk effectively.
This strategy stands out for its ability to combine real-time AI analysis with established technical indicators, offering traders a nuanced and responsive tool for navigating complex market conditions. The equations and algorithms involved are pivotal in accurately identifying market trends and potential trade opportunities.
█ Usage
To effectively use this strategy, traders should:
1. Understand the AI and Pivot Percentile Indicators: A clear grasp of how these indicators work will enable traders to make informed decisions.
2. Interpret the Signals Accurately: The strategy provides bullish, bearish, and neutral signals. Traders should align these signals with their market analysis and trading goals.
3. Monitor Market Conditions: Given that this strategy is sensitive to market dynamics, continuous monitoring is crucial for timely decision-making.
4. Adjust Settings as Needed: Traders should feel free to tweak the input parameters to suit their trading preferences and to respond to changing market conditions.
█Default Settings and Their Impact on Performance
1. Trading Direction (Default: "Both")
Effect: Determines whether the strategy will take long positions, short positions, or both. Adjusting this setting can align the strategy with the trader's market outlook or risk preference.
2. AI Settings (Neighbors: 3, Data Points: 24)
Neighbors: The number of nearest neighbors in the KNN algorithm. A higher number might smooth out noise but could miss subtle, recent changes. A lower number makes the model more sensitive to recent data but may increase noise.
Data Points: Defines the amount of historical data considered. More data points provide a broader context but may dilute recent trends' impact.
3. SuperTrend Settings (Length: 10, Factor: 3.0, MA Source: "WMA")
Length: Affects the sensitivity of the SuperTrend indicator. A longer length results in a smoother, less sensitive indicator, ideal for long-term trends.
Factor: Determines the bandwidth of the SuperTrend. A higher factor creates wider bands, capturing larger price movements but potentially missing short-term signals.
MA Source: The type of moving average used (e.g., WMA - Weighted Moving Average). Different MA types can affect the trend indicator's responsiveness and smoothness.
4. AI Trend Prediction Settings (Price Trend: 10, Prediction Trend: 80)
Price Trend and Prediction Trend Lengths: These settings define the lengths of weighted moving averages for price and SuperTrend, impacting the responsiveness and smoothness of the AI's trend predictions.
5. Pivot Percentile Settings (Length: 10)
Length: Influences the calculation of pivot percentiles. A shorter length makes the percentile more responsive to recent price changes, while a longer length offers a broader view of price trends.
6. ADX and DMI Settings (ADX Length: 14, Time Frame: 'D')
ADX Length: Defines the period for the Average Directional Index calculation. A longer period results in a smoother ADX line.
Time Frame: Sets the time frame for the ADX and DMI calculations, affecting the sensitivity to market changes.
7. Commission, Slippage, and Initial Capital
These settings relate to transaction costs and initial investment, directly impacting net profitability and strategy feasibility.
Four WMA Strategy with TP and SLBasically I read a research paper on how they used different moving averages for long entries and short entries, and it kind of dawned on me that I always used the same one for long entry or exit, or even swing trading. So I smashed this together to see what would happen.
The strategy combines the use of four different WMAs for identifying trade entry points, along with a predefined take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) for risk management. Here's a detailed description of its features and how it operates:
Main Features
1. **WMAs as the Core Indicator**:
- The strategy uses four WMAs with different lengths. Two WMAs (`longM1` and `longM2`) are used for long entry signals, and the other two (`shortM1` and `shortM2`) for short entry signals.
- The lengths of these WMAs are adjustable through input parameters.
2. **Trade Entry Conditions**:
- A long entry is signaled when the shorter WMA crosses under the longer WMA .
- Conversely, a short entry is signaled when the shorter WMA crosses under the longer WMA.
3. **Take Profit and Stop Loss**:
- The strategy includes a take profit and stop loss mechanism.
- The TP and SL levels are set as a percentage of the entry price, with the percentage values being adjustable through input parameters.
4. **Visual Representation**:
- The WMAs are plotted on the chart for visual aid, each with a distinct color for easy identification.
How It Works
- The strategy continuously monitors the crossing of WMAs to detect potential entry points for long and short positions.
- Upon detecting a long or short condition, it automatically enters a trade and sets the corresponding TP and SL levels based on the current price and the specified percentages.
- The strategy then actively manages the trade, exiting the position when either the TP or SL level is reached.
Drawbacks
- **Overreliance on WMAs**: The strategy heavily relies on WMAs for trade signals. While WMAs are useful for identifying trends, they might not always provide timely entry and exit signals.
- **Market Conditions**: It may not perform well in highly volatile or sideways markets where WMA crossovers could lead to false signals.
- **Risk Management**: The fixed percentage for TP and SL might not be suitable for all market conditions. Traders might need to adjust these values frequently based on market volatility and their risk tolerance.
Apparently I need to emphasize to use brains when using indicators and setting them up to achieve the results you can or want. Also risk of 12% is considered very high so I lowered the numbers to 5%, which tanked the profits, try adjusting them on your own. Check the properties settings for more info on comission and slippage.
Conclusion
The "Four WMA Strategy with TP and SL" is suitable for traders who prefer a moving average-based approach to trading, combined with a straightforward mechanism for risk management through take profit and stop loss. However, like all strategies, it should be used with an understanding of its limitations and ideally tested thoroughly in various market conditions before applying it to live trading.
SandTigerSandTiger is an auto-counting tool that counts naturally occurring events in a price series. This version has been reduced to 377 lines of code and should run faster than previous versions. Although not shown here, I highly recommend running my 'ELB' script with SandTiger. ELB is an 'event locator' and will mark all points that SandTiger numbers - giving you visual cues as to where these points are located. ELB also displays support/resistance levels.
SandTiger is designed to be used with MAGENTA - a counting system for Forex and other markets.
MAGENTA is a free and open framework for understanding and explaining price movement in financial markets. Any materials associated with MAGENTA are strictly for educational purposes only.
SandTiger tracks Component Values, Dyads, and Sum Table Values (STV's) over straight and curved trends, allowing a trader to discern where directional shifts are likely to occur.
SandTiger requires just 3 things to function accurately:
1) A correct starting point (this will typically be an obvious trend turn high or low in a series of price moves).
2) A 'push 1' count ('push 1' runs from the starting point to the event prior to the first terminal of the first FCT or Fractured Counter-Trend).
3) A 'high prime' value (the high prime count runs from the starting point through to the second terminal of the first FCT with no skips).
FRAMEWORK OVERVIEW: 'Component' values are filtered from the prime set (including the half prime and further reductions). Once we have the comp table we add the values to get a 'total'. With the 'total' we divide and multiply by two to get two additional values. 'Derivatives' are based on various calculations using these three values.
We're looking for 'total/2' to count into either itself, 'total', 'total*2', or a derivative. Comp counts are in Tx form and counted from trend start. If the trend doesn't turn on a comp value it will likely turn on a Dyad or STV value. If that also doesn't happen it's likely you have a 'curved' trend/sequence that will turn on one of the above after moving away from its high/low. This can also be traded using SandTiger's 'Seg Terminals' skip option.
Sum tables and Dyad values are drawn from the 'primes' and Dyads use the 'push1' value as well. In a structural trend, primes are gotten by counting pushpulls 1 & 2 in 'Ti' form. Comps, Sum table values, and Dyads are equivalent, sequences can turn on either value type belonging to the 1st or 2nd prime set. Both STV's and Dyads are counted in 'Tx' form (except where count-through signals occur).
Types and antitypes correlate and are associated with a 12-count 'cycle.' (Ti = 'Terminals Included'; Tx = 'Terminals eXcluded'; both refer to FCT terminals)
THE STRATEGY:
For Structures: Trade Comps, Dyads, and STV's from sets 1 (all) and 2 (Dyads and STV's only) in the 'main' segment then on the 'carry-over' by skipping segment terminals. If a PC or cycle caps the sequence, trade that as well.
For NSM's: Trade movements that flash a signal prior to the end of the initial cycle. The mark will be the push1 value. Twelve will be the 'high prime.' Skip interrupts and trade carry-over values.
The first version of SandTiger was conceived/planned/authored by Erek A.D. and coded by Erek A.D. and @SimpleCryptoLife beginning in August 2022 and finishing in Dec. 2022
The current version was written and developed July 3, 2023 and has been refined and upgraded by Erek A.D. through Jan. 2024...
Pairs strategyHello, Tradingview community,
I am been playing with this idea that nowadays trading instruments are interconnected and when one goes too far "out of order" it should return to the mean.
So, here's a relatively simple idea.
This is a LONG-ONLY strategy.
Buy when your traded instrument's last bar closes down, and the comparing instrument closes up.
Sell when close is higher than the previous bar's high.
Best results I found with medium timeframes: 45min, 120min, 180min.
Also, feel free to test non-typical timeframes such as 59min, 119min, 179min, etc.
My reasoning for medium timeframes would be, that they are big enough to avoid "market noise"
of smaller timeframes + commissions & slippage is less negligible, and small enough to avoid exposure of higher timeframes, although, I haven't tested D timeframe and above.
The best results, I found were with instruments that aren't directly correlated. I mostly tested equities and equity futures, so for equity indexes, equity index futures, or large-cap stocks, NASDAQ:SMH , NASDAQ:NVDA , EURUSD, and Crude Oil would be a good candidate for comparing symbols.
When testing either futures or stocks, please adjust the commission for each asset, for stocks I use % equity, so it compounds over time, whereas, for futures, I use 1 contract all the time.
Here's NASDAQ:MSFT on 119min chart
Here's AMEX:SPY on 59min chart using NASDAQ:NVDA as comparison
Here's CME_MINI:ES1! on 179min chart using NYMEX:CL1! as comparison
To change comparison symbol just insert your symbol between the brackets on both fields down here.
SymbolClose = request.security("YOUR SYMBOL HERE", timeframe.period, close)
SymbolOpen = request.security("YOUR SYMBOL HERE", timeframe.period, open)
Since I am still relatively new to testing, hence, I am publishing this idea, so you can point out some crucial things I may have missed.
Thanks,
Enjoy the strategy!
Threshold counterOVERVIEW
The "Threshold Counter" is a tool for quantifying occurrences of closing prices of an asset that align with specified criteria and is a flexible and visual approach to studying price action.
A user-definable target threshold can be set and a comparator (<, =, >, and so on) can be selected. The indicator counts values on the main chart meeting these conditions, over a user-defined `lookback` period.
KEY FEATURES
User definable threshold: target value with optional upper bound can be specified
Versatile Comparisons: Choose from "=", ">=", ">", "<=", "<", "between", and "between (inclusive)" for diverse analysis.
Historical Analysis: Assess occurrences over a customisable period.
Visual Representation: Displays instances graphically on the chart with customisable colours.
Summary: Provides a summary label for a quick understanding of the analysed data.
USE-CASES
Pattern Recognition: Identify patterns or trends based on user-defined price criteria.
Threshold Analysis: Quantify occurrences of prices crossing or staying within a specified range.
Strategy Testing: Evaluate historical performance of strategies relying on specific price conditions.
Behavioural Insights: Gain insights into price behaviour by counting occurrences of interest.
The "Threshold Counter" indicator offers a flexible and visual approach to studying price action, which may aid in making decisions based on historical data.
IMPORTANT CONSIDERATIONS
Period selection: The effectiveness of the analysis may be influenced by the choice of the lookback period. Consider an appropriate duration based on the strategy or pattern being analysed.
Comparator Selection: Comparison operator selection will obviously affect the results. There are two range operators of `between` and `between (inclusive)`. The latter will add closing prices that exactly meet the threshold and upper bound. The former does not.
Visualisation: Interpretation of the visual representation is colour-coded.
Red is threshold condition is not met.
Green is threshold condition is met.
Aqua is outside of the lookback period.
User Discretion: This script relies on historical data and should be used with caution. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Supplementary Analysis: Trading decisions should not rely solely on this script. Users should exercise judgment and consider market conditions.
Scale In : Scale OutScale In : Scale Out strategy is an adaptation and extension of dollar-cost-averaging.
As the name implies it not only scales in - allocates a given percentage of available capital to buy at each bar - it also scales out - sells a given percentage of holdings at each bar when a target profit level is reached.
The strategy can potentially mitigate risks associated with market timing.
Although dollar-cost-averaging is often recommended as a strategy for building a position, the management of taking and retaining profits is not often addressed. This strategy demonstrates the potential benefits of managing both the building and (full or partial) liquidation of an investment.
We do not provide any mechanism for managing stop losses. We assume a scale in/out strategy will typically be applied to investing in assets with a high conviction thesis based on criteria external to the strategy. If the strategy does not perform, then the thesis may need to be re-evaluated, and the position liquidated. Even in this case, scaling out should still be considered.
Mean Reversion with Incremental Entry by HedgerLabsThe "Mean Reversion with Incremental Entry" strategy, designed by HedgerLabs, is an advanced TradingView strategy script focusing on the mean reversion technique in financial markets. This strategy is engineered for traders who prefer a systematic approach with an emphasis on incremental entries based on price movements relative to a moving average.
Key Features:
Moving Average Based Strategy: Central to this strategy is the simple moving average (SMA), around which all trade entries and exits revolve. Traders can customize the MA length, making it flexible for various trading styles and timeframes.
Incremental Entry Mechanism: Unique to this strategy is the incremental entry system. The strategy initiates an initial trade when the price deviates from the MA by a specified percentage. Subsequent entries are made at incremental steps, defined by the trader, as the price moves further away from the MA. This method can potentially capitalize on increasing market volatility.
Dynamic Position Management: The strategy intelligently manages positions by entering long when the price is below the MA and short when above, allowing for adaptive positioning in different market conditions.
Automated Exit Logic: Exit points are determined when the price touches the MA, aiming to close positions at potential reversal points for optimized trade outcomes.
Continuous Market Analysis: With 'calc_on_every_tick' enabled, the strategy constantly evaluates market conditions, ensuring prompt reaction to price movements.
Usage Scenario:
This strategy is particularly beneficial in markets exhibiting mean-reverting behavior. It is suitable for traders focusing on swing trading or those who prefer to scale into positions during periods of high volatility.
Disclaimer:
Please remember that this strategy is for informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or investment advice. Trading in financial markets carries risks, including the potential loss of capital. We advise doing your own research and consulting with a financial expert before making any investment decisions.
EMA Hafeezullah ReversalTitle: Enhanced EMA Breakout Strategy for Buy and Sell Signals
Description:
This script is an enhanced version of the traditional EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Breakout strategy, designed to provide clear buy and sell signals on price charts. The strategy revolves around a 5-period EMA, which helps traders identify potential breakout points in the market.
How It Works:
EMA Calculation: The script calculates a 5-period EMA, which smooths out price movements to identify the underlying trend.
Buy Signal Logic: A buy signal is generated when the previous candle closes below the EMA, and the current high is greater than the previous high. This indicates potential bullish momentum as the price breaks above the EMA.
Sell Signal Logic: A sell signal is triggered when the previous candle closes above the EMA, and the current close is lower than the previous low. This suggests bearish momentum as the price breaks below the EMA.
Cooldown Period: To avoid frequent signals and potential false breakouts, the script imposes a cooldown period. A new signal can only be generated if a certain number of bars (defined by cooldownBars) have passed since the last signal.
Signal Visualization: Buy signals are marked with green upward triangles below the bars, and sell signals with red downward triangles above the bars.
EMA Visualization: The 5-period EMA is plotted for reference, providing a visual representation of the current trend and potential breakout points.
Usage:
Ideal for intraday and short-term trading.
Can be applied to various asset classes including stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
Best used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for confirmation and to determine exit points.
Pine Script Version: The script is written in Pine Script version 5.
Originality and Usefulness:
This script stands out due to its simplicity and effectiveness in identifying breakout points. The addition of a cooldown period helps filter out noise and increases the reliability of the signals. It's a valuable tool for traders focusing on momentum and breakout strategies.
BreakoutTrendFollowingINFO:
The "BreakoutTrendFollowing" indicator is a comprehensive trading system designed for trend-following in various market environments. It combines multiple technical indicators, including Moving Averages (MA), MACD, and RSI,
along with volume analysis and breakout detection from consolidation, to identify potential entry points in trending markets. This strategy is particularly effective for assets that exhibit strong trends and significant price movements.
Note that using the consolidation filter reduces the amount of entries the strategy detects significantly, and needs to be used if we want to have an increased confidence in the trend via breakout.
However, the strategy can be easily transformed to various only trend-following strategies, by applying different filters and configurations.
The indicator can be used to connect to the Signal input of the TTS (TempalteTradingStrategy) by jason5480 in order to backtest it, thus effectively turning it into a strategy (instructions below in TTS CONNECTIVITY section)
DETAILS:
The strategy's core is built upon several key components:
Moving Average (MA): Used to determine the general trend direction. The strategy checks if the price is above the selected MA type and length.
MACD Filter: Analyzes the relationship between two moving averages to confirm the trend's momentum.
Consolidation Detection: Identifies periods of price consolidation and triggers trades on breakouts from these ranges.
Volume Analysis: Assesses trading volume to confirm the strength and validity of the breakout.
RSI: Used to avoid overbought conditions, ensuring trades are entered in favorable market situations.
Wick filters: make sure there is not a long wick that indicates selling pressure from above
The strategy generates buy signals when several conditions are met concurrently (each one of them can be individually enabled/disabled)"
The price is above the selected MA.
A breakout occurs from a configurable consolidation range.
The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.
The RSI is below the overbought threshold.
There's an increase in trading volume, confirming the breakout's strength.
Currently the strategy fires SL signals, as the approach is to check for loss of momentum - i.e. crossunder of the MACD line and signal line, but that is to everyone to determine the exit conditions.
The buy and SL signals are set on the chart using green or orange triangles on the below/above the price action.
SETTINGS:
Users can customize various parameters, including MA type and period, MACD settings, consolidation length, and volume increase percentage. The strategy is equipped with alert conditions for both entry (buy signals) and exit (set stop loss) points, facilitating both manual and automated trading.
Each one of the technical indicators, as well as the consilidation range and breakout/wick settings can be configured and enabled/disabled individually.
Please thoroughly review the available settings of the script, but here is an outline of the most important ones:
Use bar wicks (instead of open/close) - the ref_high/low will be taken based on the bar wicks, rather than the open/close when determining the breakout and MA
Enter position only on green candles - additional filters to make sure that we enter only on strong momentum
MA Filter: (enable, source, type, length) - general settings for MA filter to be checked against the stock price (close or upper wick)
MACD Filter: (enable, source, Osc MA type, Signal MA type, Fast MA length, Slow MA length, Low MACD Hist) - detailed settings for fine MACD tuning
Consolidation:
Consolidation Type: we have two different ways of detecting the consolidation, note the types below.
CONSOLIDATION_BASIC - consolidation areas by looking for the pivot point of a trend and counts the number of bars that have not broken the consolidation high/low levels.
CONSOLIDATIO_RANGE_PERCENT - identifies consolidation by comparing the range between the highest and lowest price points over a specified period.
So in summary the CONSOLIDATIO_RANGE_PERCENT uses a percentage-based range to define consolidation, while CONSOLIDATION_BASIC uses a count of bars within a high-low range to establish consolidation.
Thus the former is more focused on the tightness of the price range, whereas the latter emphasizes the duration of the consolidation phase.
The CONSOLIDATIO_RANGE_PERCENT might be more sensitive to recent price movements and suitable for shorter-term analysis, while CONSOLIDATION_BASIC could be better for identifying longer-term consolidation patterns.
Min consolidation length - applicable for CONSOLIDATION_BASIC case, the min number of bars for the price to be in the range to consider consolidation
Consolidation Loopback period - applicable for CONSOLIDATION_BASIC case, the loopback number of bars to look for consolidation
Consolidation Range percent - applicable for CONSOLIDATIO_RANGE_PERCENT, the percent between the high and low in the range to consider consolidation
Plot consolidation - enables plotting of the consolidation (only for debug purposes)
Breakout: (enable, low, high) - the definition of the breakout from the previous consolidation range, the price should be between to determine the breakout as successfull
Upper wick: (enable, percent) - defines the percent of the upper wick compared to the whole candle to allow breakout (if the wick is too big part of the candle we can consider entering the position riskier)
RSI: (enable, length, overbought) - general settings for RSI TA
Volume (enbale, percentage increase, average volume filter en, loopback bars) - percentage of increase of the volume to consider for a breakout. There are two modes - percentage increase compared to the previous bar, or percentage against the average volume for the last loopback bars.
Note that there are many different configuration that you can play with, and I believe this is the strength of the strategy, as it can provide a single solution for different cases and scenarios.
My advice is to try and play with the different options for different markets based on the approach you want to implement and try turning features on/off and tuning them further.
TTS SETTINGS (NEEDED IF USED TO BACKTEST WITH TTS):
The TempalteTradingStrategy is a strategy script developed in Pine by jason5480, which I recommend for quick turn-around of testing different ideas on a proven and tested framework
I cannot give enough credit to the developer for the efforts put in building of the infrastructure, so I advice everyone that wants to use it first to get familiar with the concept and by checking
by checking jason5480's profile www.tradingview.com
The TTS itself is extremely functional and have a lot of properties, so its functionality is beyond the scope of the current script -
Again, I strongly recommend to be thoroughly explored by everyone that plans on using it.
In the nutshell it is a script that can be feed with buy/sell signals from an external indicator script and based on many configuration options it can determine how to execute the trades.
The TTS has many settings that can be applied, so below I will cover only the ones that differ from the default ones, at least according to my testing - do your own research, you may find something even better :)
The current/latest version that I've been using as of writing and testing this script is TTSv48
Settings which differ from the default ones:
Deal Conditions Mode - External (take enter/exit conditions from an external script)
🔌Signal 🛈➡ - BreakoutTrendFollowing: 🔌Signal to TTS (this is the output from the indicator script, according to the TTS convention)
Order Type - STOP (perform stop order)
Distance Method - HHLL (HigherHighLowerLow - in order to set the SL according to the strategy definition from above)
The next are just personal preferences, you can feel free to experiment according to your trading style
Take Profit Targets - 0 (either 100% in or out, no incremental stepping in or out of positions)
Dist Mul|Len Long/Short- 10 (make sure that we don't close on profitable trades by any reason)
Quantity Method - EQUITY (personal backtesting preference is to consider each backtest as a separate portfolio, so determine the position size by 100% of the allocated equity size)
Equity % - 100 (note above)
COSTAR Strategy [SS]A little late posting this but here it is, as promised!
This is the companion to the COSTAR indicator.
What it does:
It creates a co-integration paired relationship with a separate, cointegrated ticker. It then plots out the expected range based on the value of the cointegrated pair. When the current ticker is below the value of its co-integrated partner, it becomes a "Buy" and should be longed. When it becomes overvalued in comparison, it becomes a "Sell" and should be shorted.
The example above is with BA and USO, which have a strong inverse relationship.
How it works:
I made the strategy version a bit more intuitive. Instead of you selecting the parameters for your model, it will autoselect the ideal parameters based on your desired co-integrated pair. You simply enter the ticker you want to compare against, and it will sort through the values at various lags to find significance and stationarity. It will then create a model and plot the model out for you on your chart, as you can see above.
The premise of the strategy:
The premise of the strategy is as stated before. You long when the ticker is undervalued in comparison to its co-integrated pair, and short when it is overvalued. The conditions for entry are simply a co-integrated pair being over the expected range (short) or below the expected range (long).
The condition to exit is a "re-integration", or a crossover of the expected value of the ticker (the centreline).
What if it can't find a relationship?
In some instances, the indicator will not be able to determine a co-integrated relationship, owning to a lack of stationarity between the data. When this happens, you will get the following error:
The indicator provides you with prompts, such as switching the timeframe or trying an alternative ticker. In the case displayed above, if we simply switch to the 1 hour timeframe, we have a viable model with great backtest results:
You can toggle in the settings menu the various parameters, such as timeframe, fills and displays.
And that is the strategy in a nutshell, be sure to check out its partner indicator, COSTAR, for more information on the premise of using co-integrated models for trading. And let me know your questions below!
Safe trades everyone!
CAPM Calculator [TrendX_]CAPM calculator is a powerful tool that helps find the cost of equity, which is the minimum return that shareholders require to invest in a company.
With the CAPM calculator, you can assess how well your trading strategy performs compared to the market. The goal of your strategy is to earn higher returns than what you would get by investing in the market with the same level of risk. This is called the risk-adjusted cost of capital, and it represents the minimum return that you should accept for your investment.
USAGE
A simple way to measure this is to compare the Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of the trading strategy with the “Compound CAPM”, which is the CAGR of investing in the market with the same beta as the strategy.
If the trading strategy has a higher CAGR than the “Compound CAPM”, it means that it has outperformed the market on a risk-adjusted basis.
This is a sign of an effective trading strategy.
DISCLAIMER
The results achieved in the past are not all reliable sources of what will happen in the future. There are many factors and uncertainties that can affect the outcome of any endeavor, and no one can guarantee or predict with certainty what will occur.
Therefore, you should always exercise caution and judgment when making decisions based on past performance.
Backtester UtilityLook ahead bias is the most evil bias responsible for overestimation of the performance of the trading system.
As the Bar replay feature is only available to paid users which is a great tool for manual testing of the trading system. Leaving other users prone to the evil of Look ahead bias.
So that I have developed this indicator which will help users to manually backtest the strategies.
This indicator hides the price action after specified date and time.
Here are the steps for using the indicator.
1) Hide your chart manually.
2) Plot the indicator.
3) Change the input of time and date after which you want to hide price action.
4) Change the script according to your trading strategy.
5) Enjoy the free of cost manual backtesting.
Good trading buddies !
Note : This post is only for educational purpose , it does not contain any financial advise.
RMI Trend Sync - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How It Is Different
The "RMI Trend Sync - Strategy " combines the strength of the Relative Momentum Index (RMI) with the dynamic nature of the Supertrend indicator. This strategy diverges from traditional methodologies by incorporating a dual analytical framework, leveraging both momentum and trend indicators to offer a more holistic market perspective. The integration of the RMI provides an enhanced understanding of market momentum, while the Super Trend indicator offers clear insights into the end of market trends, making this strategy particularly effective in diverse market conditions.
BTC 4h long/short performance
█ Strategy: How It Works - Detailed Explanation
- Understanding the Relative Momentum Index (RMI)
The Relative Momentum Index (RMI) is an adaptation of the traditional Relative Strength Index (RSI), designed to measure the momentum of price movements over a specified period. While RSI focuses on the speed and change of price movements, RMI incorporates the direction and magnitude of those movements, offering a more nuanced view of market momentum.
- Principle of RMI
Calculation Method: RMI is calculated by first determining the average gain and average loss over a given period (Length). It differs from RSI in that it uses the price change (close-to-close) rather than absolute gains or losses. The average gain is divided by the average loss, and this ratio is then normalized to fit within a 0-100 scale.
- Momentum Analysis in the Strategy
Thresholds for Decision Making: The strategy uses predetermined thresholds (pmom for positive momentum and nmom for negative momentum) to trigger trading decisions. When RMI crosses above the positive threshold and other conditions align (e.g., a bullish trend), it signals a potential long entry. Similarly, crossing below the negative threshold in a bearish trend may trigger a short entry.
- Super Trend and Trend Analysis
The Super Trend indicator is calculated based on a higher time frame, providing a broader view of the market trend. This indicator uses the Average True Range (ATR) to adapt to market volatility, making it an effective tool for identifying trend reversals.
The strategy employs a Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) alongside the Super Trend, enhancing its capability to identify significant trend shifts.
ETH 4hr long/short performance
█ Trade Direction
The strategy offers flexibility in selecting the trading direction: long, short, or both. This versatility allows traders to adapt to their market outlook and risk tolerance, whether looking to capitalize on bullish trends, bearish trends, or a combination of both.
█ Usage
To effectively use the "RMI Trend Sync" strategy, traders should first set their preferred trading direction and adjust the RMI and Super Trend parameters according to their risk appetite and trading goals.
The strategy is designed to adapt to various market conditions, making it suitable for different asset classes and time frames.
█ Default Settings
RMI Settings: Length: 21, Positive Momentum Threshold: 70, Negative Momentum Threshold: 30
Super Trend Settings: Length: 10, Higher Time Frame: 480 minutes, Super Trend Factor: 3.5, MA Source: WMA
Visual Settings: Display Range MA: True, Bullish Color: #00bcd4, Bearish Color: #ff5252
Additional Settings: Band Length: 30, RWMA Length: 20
Zemog Channels[Zemogtrading]Channels Strategy
User Description:
This Channels strategy is a powerful technical analysis tool that empowers traders with a comprehensive view of the market's support and resistance levels. Designed for both beginners and experienced traders, this strategy brings a systematic and adaptable approach to chart analysis.
Default Parameters:
Swing Length (SL): 45
Higher Timeframe: Daily (D)
Multiplier for Level 2: 3.5
Multiplier for Level 3: 12
How It Works:
Swing Analysis: The Swing Length (SL) parameter allows users to fine-tune the sensitivity of the strategy. A higher SL value provides a more smoothed-out analysis, ideal for a broader market perspective, while a lower value enhances responsiveness to short-term price movements.
Higher Timeframe Insights: The Channels fetches high and low prices from a user-specified higher timeframe (default: Daily). This ensures that the strategy is well-informed by significant price levels from a broader market context.
Dynamic ATR Calculation: The Average True Range (ATR) adapts dynamically to changing market conditions. This ensures that support and resistance levels adjust in real-time based on the prevailing volatility, providing traders with adaptive insights.
Smoothed Support and Resistance: Utilizing a Smoothed Moving Average (SMA), the strategy calculates support and resistance levels based on high and low prices from the higher timeframe. This smoothing effect enhances clarity in identifying key levels, facilitating more informed trading decisions.
Additional Levels: The Channels introduces Level 2 and Level 3 support and resistance zones. Users can customize multipliers for these levels, allowing for the identification of secondary zones for potential market reversals.
Visualization: The strategy vividly plots support and resistance levels on the chart. Green lines indicate support, red lines denote resistance, and yellow lines represent additional support at Level 3.
Using Channels is a versatile tool that equips traders with a deeper understanding of crucial market levels. By seamlessly integrating swing analysis, higher timeframe data, and adaptive calculations, this strategy offers a holistic and user-friendly approach to technical analysis.
EUR/USD 45 MIN Strategy - FinexBOTThis strategy uses three indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index) - It indicates if a stock is potentially overbought or oversold.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) - It measures the current price level relative to an average price level over a certain period of time.
Williams %R - It is a momentum indicator that shows whether a stock is at the high or low end of its trading range.
Long (Buy) Trades Open:
When all three indicators suggest that the stock is oversold (RSI is below 25, CCI is below -130, and Williams %R is below -85), the strategy will open a buy position, assuming there is no current open trade.
Short (Sell) Trades Open:
When all three indicators suggest the stock is overbought (RSI is above 75, CCI is above 130, and Williams %R is above -15), the strategy will open a sell position, assuming there is no current open trade.
SL (Stop Loss) and TP (Take Profit):
SL (Stop Loss) is 0.45%.
TP (Take Profit) is 1.2%.
The strategy automatically sets these exit points as a percentage of the entry price for both long and short positions to manage risks and secure profits. You can easily adopt these inputs according to your strategy. However, default settings are recommended.
Multi-TF AI SuperTrend with ADX - Strategy [PresentTrading]
## █ Introduction and How it is Different
The trading strategy in question is an enhanced version of the SuperTrend indicator, combined with AI elements and an ADX filter. It's a multi-timeframe strategy that incorporates two SuperTrends from different timeframes and utilizes a k-nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm for trend prediction. It's different from traditional SuperTrend indicators because of its AI-based predictive capabilities and the addition of the ADX filter for trend strength.
BTC 8hr Performance
ETH 8hr Performance
## █ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation (Revised)
### Multi-Timeframe Approach
The strategy leverages the power of multiple timeframes by incorporating two SuperTrend indicators, each calculated on a different timeframe. This multi-timeframe approach provides a holistic view of the market's trend. For example, a 8-hour timeframe might capture the medium-term trend, while a daily timeframe could capture the longer-term trend. When both SuperTrends align, the strategy confirms a more robust trend.
### K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN)
The KNN algorithm is used to classify the direction of the trend based on historical SuperTrend values. It uses weighted voting of the 'k' nearest data points. For each point, it looks at its 'k' closest neighbors and takes a weighted average of their labels to predict the current label. The KNN algorithm is applied separately to each timeframe's SuperTrend data.
### SuperTrend Indicators
Two SuperTrend indicators are used, each from a different timeframe. They are calculated using different moving averages and ATR lengths as per user settings. The SuperTrend values are then smoothed to make them suitable for KNN-based prediction.
### ADX and DMI Filters
The ADX filter is used to eliminate weak trends. Only when the ADX is above 20 and the directional movement index (DMI) confirms the trend direction, does the strategy signal a buy or sell.
### Combining Elements
A trade signal is generated only when both SuperTrends and the ADX filter confirm the trend direction. This multi-timeframe, multi-indicator approach reduces false positives and increases the robustness of the strategy.
By considering multiple timeframes and using machine learning for trend classification, the strategy aims to provide more accurate and reliable trade signals.
BTC 8hr Performance (Zoom-in)
## █ Trade Direction
The strategy allows users to specify the trade direction as 'Long', 'Short', or 'Both'. This is useful for traders who have a specific market bias. For instance, in a bullish market, one might choose to only take 'Long' trades.
## █ Usage
Parameters: Adjust the number of neighbors, data points, and moving averages according to the asset and market conditions.
Trade Direction: Choose your preferred trading direction based on your market outlook.
ADX Filter: Optionally, enable the ADX filter to avoid trading in a sideways market.
Risk Management: Use the trailing stop-loss feature to manage risks.
## █ Default Settings
Neighbors (K): 3
Data points for KNN: 12
SuperTrend Length: 10 and 5 for the two different SuperTrends
ATR Multiplier: 3.0 for both
ADX Length: 21
ADX Time Frame: 240
Default trading direction: Both
By customizing these settings, traders can tailor the strategy to fit various trading styles and assets.
